Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.917606 1.034028 1.161027 1.310088 1.480551 1.669753 1.896142
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.721027 0.873999 1.054774 1.285148 1.572318 1.920284 2.376580
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.636617 0.809654 1.025281 1.315683 1.699548 2.193696 2.884609
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.558231 0.737680 0.971002 1.299605 1.755280 2.371889 3.281422
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.507908 0.693815 0.944630 1.311990 1.843437 2.595287 3.759038
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.457976 0.643770 0.902580 1.294834 1.883791 2.750453 4.150867
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.419004 0.604452 0.870396 1.286259 1.932394 2.918498 4.577204
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.373530 0.551008 0.811990 1.231319 1.902592 2.960405 4.804104
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.353170 0.532912 0.804062 1.251998 1.991451 3.195986 5.374637
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.335948 0.517844 0.798933 1.275682 2.086099 3.448860 6.003436
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.317503 0.499115 0.786079 1.284833 2.156145 3.665631 6.592412
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.299760 0.479953 0.770675 1.287725 2.214657 3.866667 7.174973
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.285125 0.465143 0.761838 1.302121 2.296869 4.122587 7.904048
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.264575 0.438870 0.731646 1.276199 2.303157 4.238746 8.372641
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.255452 0.431346 0.732884 1.306644 2.417088 4.571261 9.328667
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.239810 0.411209 0.710263 1.290670 2.439685 4.725785 9.925992
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.229775 0.400245 0.703099 1.302963 2.518569 5.001470 10.826210
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.216432 0.382318 0.681814 1.285937 2.536158 5.150990 11.459415
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.205327 0.367728 0.665620 1.277427 2.570204 5.338614 12.207460
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.189243 0.342777 0.628109 1.222902 2.501612 5.294187 12.387294
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.183572 0.337188 0.627328 1.243425 2.596750 5.625796 13.549707
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.178581 0.332548 0.628007 1.266930 2.700593 5.988740 14.847532
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.172280 0.324919 0.622183 1.276012 2.772634 6.284785 16.013935